Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-06-03 · 06:40 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-06-03. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 4.64, Philadelphia Phillies 4.21. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 47%, San Diego Padres 53%. Projected total runs: 8.85.
San Diego Padres
4.6
Predicted runs
53% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.2
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 8.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.