Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
San Diego Padres @ Philadelphia Phillies
2026-06-04 · 01:05 PM ET · Citizens Bank Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for San Diego Padres at Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park on 2026-06-04. Predicted final score: San Diego Padres 3.87, Philadelphia Phillies 4.83. Model win probability: Philadelphia Phillies 60%, San Diego Padres 40%. Projected total runs: 8.7.
San Diego Padres
3.9
Predicted runs
40% to win
Philadelphia Phillies
4.8
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
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