Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
2026-04-24 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-04-24. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3.19, Atlanta Braves 6.67. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 80%, Philadelphia Phillies 20%. Projected total runs: 9.86.
Philadelphia Phillies
3.2
Predicted runs
20% to win
Atlanta Braves
6.7
Predicted runs
80% to win
Projected total: 9.9 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.