Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Atlanta Braves
2026-04-26 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-04-26. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 2.87, Atlanta Braves 6.49. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 82%, Philadelphia Phillies 18%. Projected total runs: 9.36.
Philadelphia Phillies
2.9
Predicted runs
18% to win
Atlanta Braves
6.5
Predicted runs
82% to win
Projected total: 9.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.