Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-08-10 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-08-10. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 5.32, St. Louis Cardinals 4.72. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 45%, Philadelphia Phillies 55%. Projected total runs: 10.04.
Philadelphia Phillies
5.3
Predicted runs
55% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
4.7
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 10.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.