Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
2026-04-20 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-04-20. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.72, Chicago Cubs 4.26. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 46%, Philadelphia Phillies 54%. Projected total runs: 8.98.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.7
Predicted runs
54% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.3
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.