Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
2026-04-21 · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-04-21. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3.59, Chicago Cubs 4.13. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 56%, Philadelphia Phillies 44%. Projected total runs: 7.71.
Philadelphia Phillies
3.6
Predicted runs
44% to win
Chicago Cubs
4.1
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 7.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.