Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
2026-04-22 · 07:40 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-04-22. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3.58, Chicago Cubs 6.03. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 73%, Philadelphia Phillies 27%. Projected total runs: 9.61.
Philadelphia Phillies
3.6
Predicted runs
27% to win
Chicago Cubs
6.0
Predicted runs
73% to win
Projected total: 9.6 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.