Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Chicago Cubs
2026-04-23 · 02:20 PM ET · Wrigley Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field on 2026-04-23. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3.93, Chicago Cubs 6.45. Model win probability: Chicago Cubs 72%, Philadelphia Phillies 28%. Projected total runs: 10.37.
Philadelphia Phillies
3.9
Predicted runs
28% to win
Chicago Cubs
6.5
Predicted runs
72% to win
Projected total: 10.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.