Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-01 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-01. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.68, Miami Marlins 5.02. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 54%, Philadelphia Phillies 46%. Projected total runs: 9.71.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.7
Predicted runs
46% to win
Miami Marlins
5.0
Predicted runs
54% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.