Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-02 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-02. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3.81, Miami Marlins 5.49. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 66%, Philadelphia Phillies 34%. Projected total runs: 9.3.
Philadelphia Phillies
3.8
Predicted runs
34% to win
Miami Marlins
5.5
Predicted runs
66% to win
Projected total: 9.3 runs
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