Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins
2026-05-03 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-05-03. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3.82, Miami Marlins 4.48. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 57%, Philadelphia Phillies 43%. Projected total runs: 8.3.
Philadelphia Phillies
3.8
Predicted runs
43% to win
Miami Marlins
4.5
Predicted runs
57% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
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