Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Miami Marlins
2026-07-27 · loanDepot park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins at loanDepot park on 2026-07-27. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 5.07, Miami Marlins 3.36. Model win probability: Miami Marlins 33%, Philadelphia Phillies 67%. Projected total runs: 8.43.
Philadelphia Phillies
5.1
Predicted runs
67% to win
Miami Marlins
3.4
Predicted runs
33% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.