Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
2026-06-26 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-26. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 6.18, New York Mets 3.88. Model win probability: New York Mets 30%, Philadelphia Phillies 70%. Projected total runs: 10.06.
Philadelphia Phillies
6.2
Predicted runs
70% to win
New York Mets
3.9
Predicted runs
30% to win
Projected total: 10.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.