Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
2026-06-27 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-27. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.69, New York Mets 4.01. Model win probability: New York Mets 44%, Philadelphia Phillies 56%. Projected total runs: 8.71.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.7
Predicted runs
56% to win
New York Mets
4.0
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.