Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ New York Mets
2026-06-28 · Citi Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets at Citi Field on 2026-06-28. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.83, New York Mets 4.17. Model win probability: New York Mets 45%, Philadelphia Phillies 55%. Projected total runs: 9.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.8
Predicted runs
55% to win
New York Mets
4.2
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 9.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.