Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-06-22. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.4, Washington Nationals 4.19. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 48%, Philadelphia Phillies 52%. Projected total runs: 8.59.

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.