Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals
2026-06-23 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-06-23. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.52, Washington Nationals 4.56. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 50%, Philadelphia Phillies 50%. Projected total runs: 9.08.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.5
Predicted runs
50% to win
Washington Nationals
4.6
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 9.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
