Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals
2026-06-24 · Nationals Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals at Nationals Park on 2026-06-24. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.75, Washington Nationals 4.76. Model win probability: Washington Nationals 50%, Philadelphia Phillies 50%. Projected total runs: 9.51.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.8
Predicted runs
50% to win
Washington Nationals
4.8
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 9.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
