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Philadelphia Phillies @ Baltimore Orioles

2026-07-31

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Baltimore Orioles on 2026-07-31. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.28, Baltimore Orioles 4.26. Model win probability: Baltimore Orioles 50%, Philadelphia Phillies 50%. Projected total runs: 8.53.

Philadelphia Phillies
4.3
Predicted runs
50% to win
Baltimore Orioles
4.3
Predicted runs
50% to win
Projected total: 8.5 runs

Tonight's Edges

Best Moneyline Value
Baltimore Orioles -120
+6.4% edge
Total Edge
Over 8.0
+4.1% edge

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.

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