Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ San Diego Padres
2026-05-27 · Petco Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at San Diego Padres at Petco Park on 2026-05-27. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.19, San Diego Padres 3.56. Model win probability: San Diego Padres 44%, Philadelphia Phillies 56%. Projected total runs: 7.75.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.2
Predicted runs
56% to win
San Diego Padres
3.6
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.