Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on 2026-05-17. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 2.97, Pittsburgh Pirates 4.49. Model win probability: Pittsburgh Pirates 67%, Philadelphia Phillies 33%. Projected total runs: 7.46.

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.