Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Boston Red Sox
2026-05-13 · Fenway Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on 2026-05-13. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 6.66, Boston Red Sox 5.01. Model win probability: Boston Red Sox 38%, Philadelphia Phillies 62%. Projected total runs: 11.68.
Philadelphia Phillies
6.7
Predicted runs
62% to win
Boston Red Sox
5.0
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 11.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.