Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-07-07 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-07-07. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 6.01, Cincinnati Reds 3.71. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 31%, Philadelphia Phillies 69%. Projected total runs: 9.73.
Philadelphia Phillies
6.0
Predicted runs
69% to win
Cincinnati Reds
3.7
Predicted runs
31% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.