Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Cincinnati Reds
2026-07-08 · Great American Ball Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park on 2026-07-08. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.52, Cincinnati Reds 3.88. Model win probability: Cincinnati Reds 44%, Philadelphia Phillies 56%. Projected total runs: 8.4.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.5
Predicted runs
56% to win
Cincinnati Reds
3.9
Predicted runs
44% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.