Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals
2026-07-05 · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-07-05. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.47, Kansas City Royals 3.83. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 43%, Philadelphia Phillies 57%. Projected total runs: 8.3.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.5
Predicted runs
57% to win
Kansas City Royals
3.8
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.