Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Kansas City Royals
2026-07-06 · 02:10 PM ET · Kauffman Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium on 2026-07-06. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.44, Kansas City Royals 2.88. Model win probability: Kansas City Royals 33%, Philadelphia Phillies 67%. Projected total runs: 7.32.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.4
Predicted runs
67% to win
Kansas City Royals
2.9
Predicted runs
33% to win
Projected total: 7.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.