Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
2026-07-11 · 06:10 PM ET · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-07-11. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 4.32, Detroit Tigers 3.79. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 45%, Philadelphia Phillies 55%. Projected total runs: 8.12.
Philadelphia Phillies
4.3
Predicted runs
55% to win
Detroit Tigers
3.8
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 8.1 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.