Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Philadelphia Phillies @ Detroit Tigers
2026-07-12 · Comerica Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Philadelphia Phillies at Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park on 2026-07-12. Predicted final score: Philadelphia Phillies 3.88, Detroit Tigers 3.49. Model win probability: Detroit Tigers 46%, Philadelphia Phillies 54%. Projected total runs: 7.37.
Philadelphia Phillies
3.9
Predicted runs
54% to win
Detroit Tigers
3.5
Predicted runs
46% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.