Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros
2026-06-02 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-06-02. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.27, Houston Astros 4.16. Model win probability: Houston Astros 49%, Pittsburgh Pirates 51%. Projected total runs: 8.43.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.3
Predicted runs
51% to win
Houston Astros
4.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 8.4 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.