Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros
2026-06-03 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-06-03. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.92, Houston Astros 3.08. Model win probability: Houston Astros 42%, Pittsburgh Pirates 58%. Projected total runs: 7.01.
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.9
Predicted runs
58% to win
Houston Astros
3.1
Predicted runs
42% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.