Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros
2026-06-04 · Daikin Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Houston Astros at Daikin Park on 2026-06-04. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.6, Houston Astros 5.12. Model win probability: Houston Astros 56%, Pittsburgh Pirates 44%. Projected total runs: 9.73.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.6
Predicted runs
44% to win
Houston Astros
5.1
Predicted runs
56% to win
Projected total: 9.7 runs
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Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.