Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Athletics
2026-06-15 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-06-15. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5.84, Athletics 5.3. Model win probability: Athletics 47%, Pittsburgh Pirates 53%. Projected total runs: 11.14.
Pittsburgh Pirates
5.8
Predicted runs
53% to win
Athletics
5.3
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 11.1 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.