Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Athletics
2026-06-16 · Sutter Health Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Athletics at Sutter Health Park on 2026-06-16. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.87, Athletics 5.48. Model win probability: Athletics 55%, Pittsburgh Pirates 45%. Projected total runs: 10.35.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
45% to win
Athletics
5.5
Predicted runs
55% to win
Projected total: 10.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.