Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Toronto Blue Jays
2026-05-24 · 12:15 PM ET · Rogers Centre
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Toronto Blue Jays at Rogers Centre on 2026-05-24. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 2.56, Toronto Blue Jays 3.67. Model win probability: Toronto Blue Jays 64%, Pittsburgh Pirates 36%. Projected total runs: 6.23.
Pittsburgh Pirates
2.6
Predicted runs
36% to win
Toronto Blue Jays
3.7
Predicted runs
64% to win
Projected total: 6.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.