Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves
2026-06-05 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-06-05. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.12, Atlanta Braves 3.7. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 45%, Pittsburgh Pirates 55%. Projected total runs: 7.81.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.1
Predicted runs
55% to win
Atlanta Braves
3.7
Predicted runs
45% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.