Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Atlanta Braves
2026-06-06 · Truist Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Atlanta Braves at Truist Park on 2026-06-06. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.26, Atlanta Braves 3.21. Model win probability: Atlanta Braves 49%, Pittsburgh Pirates 51%. Projected total runs: 6.47.
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.3
Predicted runs
51% to win
Atlanta Braves
3.2
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 6.5 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.