Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced MLB Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 9:40 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

2026-04-24 · American Family Field

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-04-24. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.4, Milwaukee Brewers 3.19. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 38%, Pittsburgh Pirates 62%. Projected total runs: 7.59.

Pittsburgh Pirates
4.4
Predicted runs
62% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.2
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.