Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-04-24 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-04-24. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.4, Milwaukee Brewers 3.19. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 38%, Pittsburgh Pirates 62%. Projected total runs: 7.59.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.4
Predicted runs
62% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.2
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 7.6 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.
