Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-04-25 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-04-25. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.33, Milwaukee Brewers 3.01. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 47%, Pittsburgh Pirates 53%. Projected total runs: 6.34.
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.3
Predicted runs
53% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.0
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 6.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.