Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-04-26 · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-04-26. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.2, Milwaukee Brewers 2.85. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 34%, Pittsburgh Pirates 66%. Projected total runs: 7.05.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.2
Predicted runs
66% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
2.9
Predicted runs
34% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.