Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

MLB / Games

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers

2026-08-03

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers on 2026-08-03. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.15, Milwaukee Brewers 5.05. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 60%, Pittsburgh Pirates 40%. Projected total runs: 9.2.

Pittsburgh Pirates
4.2
Predicted runs
40% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
5.0
Predicted runs
60% to win
Projected total: 9.2 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.