Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers
2026-08-06 · 02:10 PM ET · American Family Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field on 2026-08-06. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.79, Milwaukee Brewers 3.6. Model win probability: Milwaukee Brewers 49%, Pittsburgh Pirates 51%. Projected total runs: 7.38.
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.8
Predicted runs
51% to win
Milwaukee Brewers
3.6
Predicted runs
49% to win
Projected total: 7.4 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.