Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-19 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-19. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.1, St. Louis Cardinals 3.74. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 47%, Pittsburgh Pirates 53%. Projected total runs: 7.84.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.1
Predicted runs
53% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
3.7
Predicted runs
47% to win
Projected total: 7.8 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.