Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ St. Louis Cardinals
2026-05-20 · Busch Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at St. Louis Cardinals at Busch Stadium on 2026-05-20. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.77, St. Louis Cardinals 3.92. Model win probability: St. Louis Cardinals 43%, Pittsburgh Pirates 57%. Projected total runs: 8.69.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.8
Predicted runs
57% to win
St. Louis Cardinals
3.9
Predicted runs
43% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.