Mongoose Bets logo - Advanced Sports Analytics and Betting Intelligence platform
Mongoose Bets

Odds updated 5:10 PM ET

Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB + NFL + CFB + WNBA + PGA Analytics

Pittsburgh Pirates @ Arizona Diamondbacks

2026-05-05

Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Arizona Diamondbacks on 2026-05-05. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5.2, Arizona Diamondbacks 5.45. Model win probability: Arizona Diamondbacks 53%, Pittsburgh Pirates 47%. Projected total runs: 10.65.

Pittsburgh Pirates
5.2
Predicted runs
47% to win
Arizona Diamondbacks
5.5
Predicted runs
53% to win
Projected total: 10.7 runs

Tonight's Edges

Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.