Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Los Angeles Dodgers
2026-08-23 · UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Los Angeles Dodgers at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium on 2026-08-23. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 5.28, Los Angeles Dodgers 4.99. Model win probability: Los Angeles Dodgers 48%, Pittsburgh Pirates 52%. Projected total runs: 10.27.
Pittsburgh Pirates
5.3
Predicted runs
52% to win
Los Angeles Dodgers
5.0
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 10.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.