Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants
2026-05-08 · Oracle Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on 2026-05-08. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 3.6, San Francisco Giants 3.44. Model win probability: San Francisco Giants 48%, Pittsburgh Pirates 52%. Projected total runs: 7.04.
Pittsburgh Pirates
3.6
Predicted runs
52% to win
San Francisco Giants
3.4
Predicted runs
48% to win
Projected total: 7.0 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.