Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants
2026-05-09 · 09:05 PM ET · Oracle Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on 2026-05-09. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.68, San Francisco Giants 2.55. Model win probability: San Francisco Giants 28%, Pittsburgh Pirates 72%. Projected total runs: 7.22.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.7
Predicted runs
72% to win
San Francisco Giants
2.5
Predicted runs
28% to win
Projected total: 7.2 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.