Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ San Francisco Giants
2026-05-10 · 04:05 PM ET · Oracle Park
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at San Francisco Giants at Oracle Park on 2026-05-10. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.85, San Francisco Giants 3.4. Model win probability: San Francisco Giants 35%, Pittsburgh Pirates 65%. Projected total runs: 8.25.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.8
Predicted runs
65% to win
San Francisco Giants
3.4
Predicted runs
35% to win
Projected total: 8.3 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.