Mongoose Bets | The Math Behind the Line — MLB Analytics
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cleveland Guardians
2026-07-18 · 01:10 PM ET · Progressive Field
Mongoose Bets' Monte Carlo model (2,500 simulations) for Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians at Progressive Field on 2026-07-18. Predicted final score: Pittsburgh Pirates 4.93, Cleveland Guardians 3.74. Model win probability: Cleveland Guardians 38%, Pittsburgh Pirates 62%. Projected total runs: 8.66.
Pittsburgh Pirates
4.9
Predicted runs
62% to win
Cleveland Guardians
3.7
Predicted runs
38% to win
Projected total: 8.7 runs
Tonight's Edges
Predictions from 2,500 Monte Carlo simulations per game. Best bets, full prop edges, and DFS tools live inside Prop Central for subscribers.